Obama's Immigration Pivot Hits A Bruised GOP's Weak Spot
You know, we focus on the government shutdown, and how hard it was on big business. Think what it has done to the average American. You know, you take a program that we believe in very much like Head Start or the WIC program, almost 40 percent of the people in those programs are Hispanic. And they have been devastated. Some programs had to stop doing what they were doing. The average American has been hurt by this shutdown. And there is no reason. It was a waste of everyones time, especially the American peoples time. What made the Houses Republicans blink at the end? the House voted 285-144, with more than a third of the Republicans supporting an agreement negotiated by Reid and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky.
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That faction of the House wielded considerable influence over the chamber throughout the 16-day shutdown, pushing Boehner to demand cuts or delays to the president's signature health care law. Those conservatives were supported by Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, a presidential contender for 2016 who has railed against Obamacare and the national debt. And while Cruz was marginalized during Senate hearings on the immigration law, his opposition to the bill may get new life through the more conservative wing of the House. "As we've recently seen, he has the ear of a number of people in the House and I think he's going to be a factor," said Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart, R-Fla., another member of the bipartisan House immigration group who is confident something can pass. But Democrats say the inability of GOP conservatives to delay or defund Obamacare, and their caving on their opposition to raising the nation's $16.7 trillion debt ceiling, shows that the Cruz and conservatives cannot get everything they want.
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A way forward on immigration reform?
Chamber of Commerce, the Partnership for a New American Economy, which was founded by New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg; and FWD.us, co-founded by Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg and other tech industry leaders who are pushing for more visas for highly-educated immigrants. Though the front line in this particular offensive play for immigration reform comprises conservatives, organizers are groups that long have fought for changes in U.S. policy that would provide a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants. Ali Noorani, executive director of the National Immigration Forum, which is helping coordinate the effort, said to USA Today that those who will be taking part represent "the conservative base of the Republican Party." The few legislative days left for this year make it increasingly unlikely that any meaningful action will take place in Congress on immigration reform. A comprehensive bill passed in June in the Senate, but the House has addressed the issue in fits and starts. Conservative members in the House say they will not rubber stamp the Senate bill, and they vow not to pass any measure that would provide amnesty to people who are here illegally. Efforts to advance immigration reform legislation in the House stalled in the summer, as some Republicans, who control the chamber, vowed not to rubber-stamp the Senate version they have expressed objections over allowing a pathway to legal status for many of the estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants. The other key part of the bill calls for tightening enforcement. Several Republican leaders in the House said they preferred to deal with immigration through separate bills instead of one overarching one. Rep. Steve King, a Republican from Iowa who is known for having among the most hard line views on immigration in Congress, has been organizing an immigration whip team, according to The National Journal, to block any measure that would provide a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants. Each day that has passed without floor action has been good for the rule of law and good for the rule of sovereignty, King told the Journal.
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Unlike shutdown, GOP says Democrats must bend on immigration
Numerous business-funded push polls show high levels of public support for a conditional, staged, multi-year amnesty of the estimated 11 million workers in the country. But other polls show that majorities of the public does not believe the government will enforce those conditions, such as putting an end to illegal immigration. The Democrats are working with business to pressure Boehner and top Republicans to back the bill. The immigration bill is the thing [Obama] wants to get more than anything else in his second term, Sen. Charles Schumer said in a Thursday MSNBC interview. The next few weeks are likely to be critical for the immigration push, partly because the latest budget deal is scheduled to create another high-stakes budget showdown in December and the first part of January.
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Raul Labrador: Immigration Reform Is Dead After Spending Showdown
Before being re-elected last year, President Obama said he hoped the Republican "fever" of opposition to him would break during his second term. But if the just-completed standoff is any indication, that temperature is still spiking. The immediate shift to immigration could be Dr. Obama's way of trying to effect a cure. What the White House and immigration advocates working with it hope is that the political loss Republicans suffered in the recent fiscal fight will make GOP leaders desperate to show that the party can govern. "One can hear the debate within the GOP, which is, 'Do we continue confrontational tactics that make us look bad? Or do we find a way to pragmatically govern and work more cooperatively with Democrats to do so?' " said Frank Sharry, executive director of America's Voice, an immigration advocacy group.
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GOP base asks Boehner to block immigration 'disaster'
The idea is to give Republicans a viable path forward. As York reports , House Republicans are still under pressure from conservatives to not support anything that places legalization before border security. So under this scenario, House Republicans could pass security measures piecemeal, then pass the KIDS Act which doesnt include legalization, isnt amnesty, doesnt run afoul of the security-before-legalization rule, and could conceivably get a majority of House Republicans. Yes, some conservatives http://www.nexopia.com/users/newtondqyr/blog/28-la-inmigracin-no-es-slo-un-asunto-latino even oppose the KIDS Act, and some would scream with anger at the notion that House Republicans would enter into negotiations. But the point is, the only way any reform passes the House is if conservatives are stiff-armed, at least a bit,at some point. This might be the easiest way to do it, because it doesnt even require Republicans tovote forlegalization. Once in conference, Sharry and other advocates will insist on citizenship. But the unspoken truth is thatthere are ways to get agreement on something approximating comprehensive reform by embracing legalization with only some citizenship, as Ive laid out here . Even GOP Rep. Bob Goodlatte has endorsed that outcome . Full citizenship is preferable, but this alternateoutcome is better than the status quo. The overriding idea here is that House GOP leaders such as Cantor and Paul Ryan seem to want to pass something that demonstrates a compassionate interest in fixing immigration.
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Conservative Activists Will Descend On Washington To Push For Immigration Reform
Even though short-lived, the legislation paved the way for harsher immigration laws to come. On the other hand, the strong reaction from the Hispanic community and immigration advocates propelled a drive for naturalization of legal residents and created as many as one million new voters. The Worst: Arizona SB 1070 The Arizona Act made it a misdemeanor for an undocumented immigrant to be within the state lines of Arizona without legal documents allowing their presence in the U.S. This law has been widely criticized as xenophobic and for encouraging racial profiling. It requires state authorities to inquire about an individual's immigration status during an arrest when there is "reasonable suspicion" that the individual is undocumented. The law would allow police to detain anyone who they believe was in the country illegally. Status: The law was signed into law by Arizona Governor Jan Brewer on April 23, 2010.
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